Good morning.

Am I the only one who spent more time setting Pokémon lineups this week than fantasy football ones?

ICYMI:

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But enough about Pokémon, it’s time to geek out about something I know for sure we all love… fantasy football.

Let’s get after it…

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Matthew Stafford vs. BUF: The Rams will host the Bills on MNF, in a game tied for the highest projected point total on the week at 54.5. Buffalo is allowing the 4th-most fantasy points to opposing passers, including a QB1 overall result to Drake Maye last week, per Yahoo’s Justin Boone.

Jacoby Brissett vs. DET: He’s averaging 27.9 expected points over the past two weeks, which leads all QBs. Meanwhile, no other defense has allowed more fantasy points to QBs than the Lions, while their 5th-ranked scoring offense figures to put the Cardinals QB in negative game script, per Draft Sharks’ Ian Miller.

Jared Goff @ ARI: Yo want pieces of this matchup. The Lions defense might be awful, but their offense is still explosive. Start Goff against a Cardinals secondary that’s allowing a league-worst 9.1 yards per pass attempt, per The Fantasy Footballers’ Jason Moore.

Tyler Shough vs. MIN: Put simply, the Vikings defense has allowed the fewest points to QBs this season, per Ian Miller.

Jalen Hurts @ JAX (in London): The Eagles will be missing DeVonta Smith and Saquon Barkley, not to mention Lane Johnson (who just retired). The team also just traded its center, Cam Jurgens. Meanwhile, Hurts’ rush attempts (including designed) have been down this season, and Philly owns the league’s 2nd-lowest team total (16.5 points) this week—even lower than Miami’s, per The Athletic’s Dalton Del Don.

Justin Herbert vs. DEN: He has scored 15.3 fantasy points or less in all four outings this season, per CBS Sports’ Jamey Eisenberg, and he’ll be without tackles Rashawn Slater (ankle) and Joe Alt (neck), while WR Ladd McConkey (foot) is questionable.

Aaron Rodgers vs. IND: The Steelers are currently 2nd in pass rate over expectation, with A-Rod rankings 7th in pass attempts per game. Meanwhile, the Colts rank 29th against the pass, per Fantasy Life’s Matthew Berry.

Kirk Cousins @ NE: The Raiders’ offense has generated 11.6 adjusted net yards per attempt on play action this season, the 3rd-most in the NFL. Meanwhile, the Patriots’ defense has surrendered the 4th-highest ANY/A against opposing play action (9.9). Plus, they’ve allowed the most yards per attempt to the middle of the field of any defense (12.50 vs. 5.17 to the outside), an area Cousins has targeted at a top-5 rate this season, per Fantasy Points’ Ryan Heath. This can’t hurt, either:

Bhayshul Tuten vs. PHI (in London): So far this season, Tuten averages…

Now he gets to tee off on a Philly defense that ranks 28th in rush EPA per play allowed as a 7.5-point favorite.

Jaylen Warren vs. IND: With Rico Dowdle out of the lineup the last two weeks, Warren has racked up 302 scrimmage yards and six receptions on 44 touches. Dowdle returned to practice and is questionable for today’s game, but regardless, you should still start Warren against a Colts D that’s allowing the 8th-most fantasy points to opposing RBs (by far his easiest opponent through the first five weeks), per Justin Boone.

Aaron Jones Sr. @ NO: In the three games since Jordan Mason was placed on IR, Jones is averaging 23 touches and an 18% target share. Over that stretch, he ranks RB7 in Utilization Score, per Matthew Berry. Start him against a Saints run D that got TORCHED by Atlanta last week.

Will Shipley @ JAX (in London): I know… you just paid up for him on the waiver wire and Saquon’s been ruled out. But Jacksonville gives up the 12th-fewest adjusted yards before contact per attempt (1.88), the fewest rushing yards per game (47.5), and the most receiving YPG (47.8) to RBs, per Fantasy Points’ Tom Brolley.

Omarion Hampton vs. DEN: He plummeted to season-lows in snap share (32%) and carry share (36%) last week. His route rate was under 25% for the 2nd week in a row and he failed to earn a double-digit target share for the 4th week in a row, per Kyle Dvorchak.

David Montgomery @ TEN: He hasn’t finished better than RB37 over the last three weeks. And among 39 qualifying RBs with 30+ carries, Monty ranks:

RJ Harvey @ LAC: He’s a PPR FLEX candidate with 16 receptions over the last two weeks. In fact, Harvey has drawn a target on 44% of his routes, the highest rate among NFL players with at least 45 routes run, per The Fantasy Footballers’ Mike Wright.

Emanuel Wilson vs. SF: “Wilson is coming off a 120-yard, two-TD effort and facing a 49ers defense that's let four different backs reach double-digit fantasy points against them in four weeks. Seattle also ran all over San Francisco in its matchups last season.” — Justin Boone

Michael Wilson vs. DET: Marvin Harrison Jr. will be inactive today as the Cardinals finalize trade details with… an unknown team?

Mazda Marv was hardly a factor, but that does further solidify Wilson as the team’s WR1. He’s been fantasy’s WR20 to open the season, but he’s the WR7 in expected fantasy points. Wilson’s led the league in targets (28) and end-zone targets (4) over the past two weeks, and has recorded a 42.6% 1st-read target rate in that span, per Dalton Del Don. Look for him to go off against a struggling Detroit secondary today.

Jameson Williams @ ARI: “Arizona ranks last in schedule-adjusted fantasy points allowed to WRs, giving Williams a favorable opportunity to build on last week’s rebound. His volatility has not disappeared, but we should be using the matchup to make this decision rather than how annoyed we were with him two weeks ago.” — The Fantasy Footballers’ Andy Holloway

Jaylen Waddle @ LAC: He faces a Chargers defense that has allowed six WRs to score at least 12.3 PPR points in four games, per Jamey Eisenberg. Plus, he could get an additional target or two with Pat Bryant (ankle) out and Sean Payton back calling plays for Denver.

Christian Watson vs. CHI: He’s been outstanding this season, so consider this more of a fade than a full-on sit. But the Bears have held their opponents' WR1s (Justin Jefferson, DeVonta Smith, and Garrett Wilson) to an average of 8.9 fantasy PPG since Week 2, per NFL.com’s Matt Okada.

Devaughn Vele vs. MIN: Vele actually leads the league in routes run (173) through four weeks. However, he's got just a 16.7% target share, a 0.17 targets per route run, and a 22% 1st read target share. Meanwhile, the Vikings are 4-0 and have allowed the fewest points in the NFL this season, per RotoBaller’s Adam Koffler.

Mike Evans @ SEA: He’s battling a rib injury, but is expected to suit up. Regardless, fade him against a Seattle D that has allowed the 2nd-fewest points to wideouts. In fact, only one (Terry McLaurin) has scored more than 9.3 fantasy points against them this season, per SI’s Michael Fabiano.

Malik Washington vs. CIN: He runs over half his routes from the slot, where the Bengals are giving up the 3rd-most fantasy PPG thus far this season, per Fantasy Points’ Joe Dolan.

Carnell Tate vs. HOU: Last week, Tate saw a season-high 43% target share (his 3rd straight game with at least a 25% target share), while accounting for 73.4% of the Titan’s air yards. That’s the highest single-game share by any WR in the NFL this season. FLEX him against a Houston D that has already allowed seven different WRs to score double-digit fantasy points, per Matthew Berry.

Sam LaPorta @ ARI: The Cardinals have deployed Cover 6 on 27.6% of opposing dropbacks (the most in the NFL), or at least 18% of the time in all four games. Dating back to last season, LaPorta leads the Lions in yards per route run against Cover 6 (2.86), ranking 2nd-most among all TEs. He also experiences a +28% targets per route run boost against this shell, per Ryan Heath.

Isaiah Likely @ WAS: “We spend a lot of time trying to find TEs who might get involved. Likely already is, leading NYG with six red zone targets through the opening month. He also leads all TEs in target share. Yes, 2% more than Trey McBride. WAS has struggled against the position.” — Mike Wright

Colston Loveland @ GB: Last week, Loveland had a 66.7% route share and 91% snap share as he led the team with a 26.5% target share and 34.8% 1st-read share. This week, he faces a Green Bay secondary that has the 6th-highest two-high rate in the NFL (62.1%). Over the last two weeks, against two high, Loveland has had an elite 35% target per route run rate and a strong 1.88 yards per route run, per the staff at FantasyPros.

Dalton Kincaid @ LAR: He’s gone from a 25.0% target share in Weeks 1 and 2 down to 8.9% in Weeks 3 and 4. That’ll be a tough trend to buck against a Rams D that has allowed a league-low 85 receiving yards to TEs (not per game… TOTAL). They haven't allowed more than 8.3 fantasy points to a single player at the position, per Matt Okada.

Juwan Johnson vs. MIN: Minnesota ranks 6th in fantasy points allowed per game to TEs entering Week 5, per USA Today’s Tom Viera.

Brenton Strange vs. PHI (in London): He took advantage of a cake matchup against Cincy last week, but the Eagles allow the 10th-fewest receiving yards per game (39.0) and the 8th-fewest receptions per game (4.0) to TEs, per Tom Brolley.

Mike Gesicki @ MIA: Ja’Marr Chase (concussion) and Tee Higgins (groin, neck) are both questionable for this game. If one or both are out, Gesicki becomes a smash start. But even if they both play, you can stream Gesicki against a Dolphins D that gives up the 3rd-most fantasy PPG to opposing TEs, per Joe Dolan.

Hunter Henry vs. LV: Henry scored a season-high 11.2 fantasy points in Week 4, and the Raiders have allowed two TEs to score 19+ points in 2026, per Michael Fabiano.

2026 Record: 6-4

🥇 Cardinals (+5.5) vs. Lions

🥈 Vikings (-2.5) @ Saints

🥉 Titans (+7.5) vs. Texans

Disclaimer: Gambling should be enjoyed as a form of entertainment. Never gamble more than you can afford to lose.

📖 Read Don't be surprised if: Unsung heroes rack up the stats, and one QB to trade away from ESPN’s Eric Karabell, where he predicts some potential storylines coming out of the Week 5 results.

📖 Read Fantasy Football Rankings: 5 most polarizing players for Week 5 from Yahoo’s Hayden Winks, where he looks at the outlooks of players experts are disagreeing about most.

📖 Read Fantasy Football Rankings vs. Expert Consensus from Fantasy Life’s Alex Cupps, where he identifies players he’s higher or lower on for this week’s action.

📺 Watch behind the scenes footage of Nick Saban benching Jalen Hurts for Tua Tagovailoa in the 2017 National Championship Game (from ESPN’s Saban documentary):

Before we go, we want to offer our condolenses to the family of Mike Ditka following his passing this past Friday. Iron Mike was incredible on the field, on the sidelines, and in the studio. A true NFL legend.🫡

Good luck in your matchups today.✊

See you Tuesday morning.

- Marcus