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Good morning.

The first round of the fantasy football playoffs starts tonight.

So put a pause on your Christmas shopping, cancel your plans, and lock in. No greater feeling than getting off to a hot start on a Thursday night.✊ 

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MARKET TRENDS 🧐

Running Back

📈 Saquon Barkley is BACK. He finally came to life with 122 yards and a TD on 20 touches last Sunday. This could be a sign of things to come, as his fantasy playoff schedule is JUICY — the Raiders, Commanders and Bills all rank inside the top-8 for most fantasy points allowed to RBs, per Yahoo’s Justin Boone.

📉 Stock Down: Jonathan Taylor. Old Man Rivers is a fun story, but the loss of Daniel Jones certainly hurts the Colts’ rest-of-season outlook. Taylor’s been insanely gamescript sensitive this season, averaging 31.5 fantasy PPG in wins, but just 11.7 fantasy PPG in losses, per Fantasy Points’ Scott Barrett. The Colts are 12.5-point underdogs this week against Seattle, and they’ll also be heavy underdogs versus the 49ers and Jaguars to close out the fantasy season.

📈 Stock Up: Devin Neal. He’s a workhorse for New Orleans, seeing snap rates of 74%, 82%, and 71% over the past three weeks. He’s now coming off his best NFL game (19/70/1 with one catch for 14 yards) and has two favorable matchups at home (CAR and NYJ) over the next two weeks. Carolina is ranked 23rd vs. RBs, while the Jets have the 4th-worst defense against RBs, per SI’s Shawn Childs.

🙅 Don’t be fooled by Tony Pollard. Most of his production came on a couple explosive plays last week, which have been few and far between this season. What’s most concerning is Pollard’s lack of passing game usage — he ran his lowest route share of the entire season (10.3%) last week, per Barrett, and the Titans will be throwing the ball often as massive underdogs against the 49ers and Chiefs over the next two weeks.

Wide Receiver