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- š Jaxon Smith-Njigba & Week 4 Trends
š Jaxon Smith-Njigba & Week 4 Trends
Players to buy, sell, and hold ahead of Week 4.
Good morning.
Weāve had our first QB benching of the season! Rookie Jaxson Dart is the new signal caller for the New York Giants, replacing Mr. Unlimited himself, Russell Wilson.
But who didnāt see this coming? Brian Dabollās smiled like a shy schoolgirl every time heās talked about Dart since the preseason.
āIām glad we drafted him. Iām glad heās our guy.ā - Brian Daboll on Jaxson Dart.
The coach loves his QB.
#Giants
ā Connor Hughes (@Connor_J_Hughes)
3:23 AM ⢠Aug 22, 2025
This sudden change is just the latest reminder of how fast the NFL landscape shiftsāand in fantasy, itās our job to adjust just as quickly. So lets dive into some Week 4 trendsā¦
Today's newsletter highlights:
Buying Benson š°
Bad News for BTJ š
Dart SZN šÆ
More buys, sells, holds, and other trends š§
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MARKET TRENDS š§
Running Back

Trey Benson // Brad Rempel, Imagn Images
š° Buy Trey Benson. If you couldnāt scoop him up on waivers, try to buy low before he proves what he can do as the starter. He's running efficiently so far this season (5.95 yards per carry, 9.5% explosive rate, 0.29 missed tackles forced per attempt in 2025), is attached to an above average offense (13th in EPA/play), and should have an elite role (75% of carries, 83% routes w/ Conner out last week), per Dataroma. He could be a low-end RB1.
š Sell DāAndre Swift. Heās been a serviceable RB2, but heās severely underperforming. The Bears rank 1st in the % of RB runs that gain at least one yard before initial contact, yet they rank 27th in yards per RB rush (3.5), according to CBS Sportsā Jacob Gibbs. Swift is not taking advantage of what Ben Johnsonās scheme is giving himāper Next Gen Stats, heās one of just four backs to spend 3+ seconds behind the line of scrimmage per rush.
š° Buy Jaylen Warren. His 78% snap rate, 18 carries, and 24 total opportunities in Week 3 were all career highs, while his 60% route rate was his 5th-highest mark, per Draft Sharksā Jared Smola. Warrenās usage has climbed each of the past two weeks, and heās even receiving the majority of the goal-line work as well.
š Sell Alvin Kamara. He wasnāt below a 12% target share in any game last year, but heās now failed to reach a 5% target share in two of the Saintsā three games this season, which has happened only once previously for him from 2021 through 2024, per Fantasy Pointsā John Hansen.
ā Hold R.J. Harvey. While Denverās run game ranks 3rd in explosive run rate, 2nd in missed tackles forced per attempt, and 2nd in yards per carry per attempt, theyāre only 22nd in yards after contact per attempt (per John Hansen), which is where the explosive Harvey can come in. Their o-line is elite and J.K. Dobbins has been great (+3.8 fantasy points above expectation), but he lacks true home run hitting ability. And as we saw last year, we can probably expect his production to fade, whether through injury or just general wear and tear. Thereās still plenty of season left, so donāt count the rookie out just yet.
š Stock up: TreVeyon Henderson. Heās been disappointing to say the least, but after Rhamondre Stevenson and Antonio Gibson combined for three fumbles, Henderson led the backfield during drills yesterday. He didnāt have a fumble in his entire college career (667 career touches), so this could be the time the Pats finally start relying on him.
Absolutely no clue if this will mean anything next week, but this is what TreVeyon Henderson did in three drives after Rhamondre Stevenson & Antonio Gibson fumbles:
84% snaps
90% attempts
71% routes5.7 fantasy points
ā Dwain McFarland (@dwainmcfarland)
2:40 AM ⢠Sep 22, 2025
Wide Receiver

JSN // Paul Sancya, AP Photo
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