Good morning.
Week 7 is here and weāre now in the thick of the fantasy football season. For many of you, that means youāre rolling through the competition and getting ready for the playoffs. But for some, maybe not so muchā¦
Whether youāre looking to separate yourself from the rest, or claw your way out of the basement, weāve got buys, sells, and other trends that can help you make some moves.
Letās get after itā¦
Today's newsletter highlights:
Market Trends š
Week 7 Rankings š
Inside an NFL Headset š§
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MARKET TRENDS š§
Running Back

DāAndre Swift // John Locher, AP Photo
š° Buy high on DāAndre Swift. As much as we love a good buy-low, buying high on players tends to be much more realistic. People like to think theyāre getting a deal by selling someone high, thinking they wonāt repeat their previous performance(s). When it comes to Swift, heās easy to believe in. Only Derrick Henry (22) has more carries inside the 10 than Swift (19) this season, per Fantasy Pointsā Ryan Heath. With Caleb Williams back (plus Kyle Monangai injured), his TD-upside will remain among the best in the league for the foreseeable future.
š Sell Ashton Jeanty. If you have him in dynasty, cover your eyesā¦
Ok, maybe this is just a coincidence. But truthfully, Jeanty doesnāt look or sound 100% healthy this season. He is only in the 13th percentile in yards per carry (3.19), and 19th percentile in explosive rush rate (5.7%) and missed tackles forced per attempt (0.11), per The Athleticās Joseph Bryan. Someālike legendary NFL Films Senior Producer Greg Cosellāhave even gone so far as to say Mike Washington Jr. is a better overall back.
š° Buy Woody Marks. Since taking over Houstonās backfield, Marks has had two tough matchups (TEN and JAX). But his next two matchups (NYG and LAC) are much more appealing. His only TDs this season came earlier on when he was splitting the work, so weāve yet to see his true ceiling as the lead back. Iām banking on a late season surge from the Texans, with Marks finding the end zone often.
š Sell high on Jonathan Taylor. Indy is in turmoil. They just fired their GM and their next two matchups (MIN and JAX) both rank inside the top-5 for fewest fantasy points allowed to RBs, per Yahooās Justin Boone. Taylor does best when his team is competitive, and that wonāt be the case with Indy. Now, if he ends up getting dealt at the trade deadline, that could be a different story⦠but donāt just hold onto him for that wild card alone if you can get premium value in return.
Wide Receiver

Matthew Golden // USA Today
š° Buy high on Matthew Golden. Per Dwain McFarland of Fantasy Life, Golden ranks 7th in Utilization Score (86), 11th in catchable targets per game (6.5), and 3rd in catchable air yards per game (77.3). His historical comps averaged 17.9 fantasy PPGā97% of which were top-12 WRs, and 54% of which were top-6 WRs. And thatās while still leaving plenty of meat on the boneā¦
š Sell Emeka Egbuka. āComing off back-to-back top-20 finishes, things are pointing up for Ebuka. However, in four of his last six games, Egbukaās YPC has been under seven yards, and his YPT has been under five yards. This offense looks kind of putrid, regardless of who is playing QB, and I do not really want any part of it.ā ā The Fantasy Footballersā Kemper Trull
š° Buy Jalen Coker. Heās a WR1 with WR2/3 name value. Most view Tetairoa McMillan as the teamās #1, but over their last eight full games together, Coker is averaging 7.6 targets, 5.7 receptions, 75.6 receiving yards, and 16.8 PPR PPG. And in four games alongside each other so far this season, Coker has been targeted on 27% of his routes, compared to 21% for McMillan. And if you remove Week 3, where he ran just 33% of the routes (due to injury), Coker has a target share north of 30%, per Fantasy Lifeās Adam Pfeifer.
š Sell Josh Downs. Another one from todayās bearer of bad news, Kemper Trull: āDespite three games with 8+ targets, Downs has 50 yards only twice this year, and he has not found the end zone at all. With Alec Pierce and Tyler Warren both out in Week 6, it was 57-year-old Keenan Allen who led the Colts in targets, receptions, and yardage ⦠At this point, I am afraid he is what he is.ā
š Donāt stress over A.J. Brown. The bad news is he set a Patriots record for most drops in a single game and scored just 5.7 PPR points. But the good news is he had 18.1 expected PPR points in his first game back off IR. Brown saw an elite 33% target share and had a 91% route share against the Jets, per JJ Zachariason. It was likely a little rust or just a bad day at the office. Heāll be fine.
š° Buy Jaylin Noel (within reason). This might be more of a dynasty take, since itās hard to paint a picture of consistent usage for the 2nd-year WR (heās run just one route this year with two or fewer WRs on the field, per Zachariason). However, itās clear Noel is #GoodAtFootballāamong 77 WRs with a minimum of 100 routes run, he is:
6th in yards per route run (2.69)
1st in yards per target (16.79)
8th in yards after catch per reception (6.65)
1st in passer rating when targeted (152.1)
(per @ffdataroma)
And while Noelās only been used in 3-WR sets (for now), don't pigeonhole him as a "slot-only receiver" when he can produce out wide with the best of them:
QB / TE

Matthew Stafford // NFL.com
š° Buy Matthew Stafford. His managers might be willing to sell after the injury to Davante Adams, but Staffordās next four opponents give up 21+ fantasy PPG to QBs: LV (21.5), LAC (15.5), WAS (24.2), and ARI (22.1), per Fantasy Pointsā John Hansen. Sean McVay will find a way to score points, no matter whoās out there.
š Sell J.J. McCarthy. He may have been named the starter for Big Blue, but Iām not buying his 4th quarter explosion last week. 29 QBs threw a pass in Week 6, and McCarthy finished 29th in catchable pass rate, per ETRās John Daigle. He benefited from good fortune and a prevent defense that allowed way too many big plays.
š° Buy Jared Goff. Some still consider him kinda boring⦠donāt let that be you. The Lions' defense is allowing the 3rd-most points per drive (2.74) and the highest rate of TDs per drive (37.0%), leading to high-scoring games.š¤ So far this season, Goff has the 2nd-most expected fantasy PPG among QBs (23.64), per Joseph Bryan, making a top-5 fantasy finish easily within reach.
š Sell Bryce Young. Heās had the 2nd-easiest strength of schedule for a fantasy QB so far. But over the rest of the season, Young will have the hardest strength of schedule for a fantasy QB, including a Week 17 matchup against a scary Seattle Seahawks defense. Since the start of last season, Young has averaged 19.7 fantasy PPG when facing a team in the top half of the league in fantasy points allowed. But when he faces an opponent in the bottom half of fantasy points allowed, he averages just 10.8 fantasy PPG, per NBC Sportsā Alfredo Brown.
š° Buy Kyle Pitts. Weāve seen flukes from him before, but the latest numbers are encouraging:
The reason I think this could stick? Kevin Stefanski. Here are the Brownsā ranks in total targets to TEs under Stefanski from 2020-25: 5th, 6th, 6th, 6th, 4th, 2nd (per FTN Fantasyās Colin McTamany).
š Sell unbelievably high on Brock Bowers. It doesnāt feel right typing this one out (so make sure youāre only selling him for a f***ing HAUL), but RotoBallerās Jorden Hill makes a valid pointā¦
The Raiders are set to face six of the best pass defenses in the NFL over the next six weeks. The Rams, Jets, 49ers, Seahawks, Broncos, and Browns all rank in the top 12 against the pass. Of these teams, only the Broncos and Browns allow 10 or more fantasy PPG to TEs, while the Rams, Jets, 49ers, and Seahawks are four of the five toughest matchups for the position. Some would argue that Bowers is deployed more like a WR than a TE, which is fair. But that doesn't help his case muchāof the six teams mentioned above, only the Browns present a favorable matchup for receivers. The Rams, Jets, 49ers, Seahawks, and Broncos all rank in the top 12 against fantasy wideouts.
Plus, things could go south for Vegasā entire passing offense if Fernando Mendoza takes over the reigns later on.
š° Buy Colston Loveland. Over his first three games, he had a 9.7% target share (TE32) and averaged 3.3 expected fantasy PPG (TE44). But over his last three games, heās up to a 20.9% target share (TE9) and 15.1 expected fantasy PPG (TE3), per John Daigle.
š° Buy Brenton Strange (again). He made this list last week after becoming the clear #2 option in Jacksonvilleās passing game, but I thought it would be prudent to list him again after I came across this stat:
POLL š
Colts GM Chris Ballard getting canned has me thinkingā¦
Which head coach will be fired first?
RANKINGS āļø
Our Week 7 positional rankings are LIVE. Anthony, our Rankings Specialist, is off on assignment this week, so Iāve taken a stab at it myself. Here are some of my favorite playsā¦
Geno Smith (NYJ) ā QB16 vs. MIA:
If youāre S.O.L. and need to stream the position, look no further than Geno Smith. Heās thrown five TDs of 20+ yards this season, tied with Trevor Lawrence and Brock Purdy for the most in the NFL, per TruMedia. He should get a fair share of opportunities against a Dolphins secondary thatās allowing the 8th-most fantasy PPG to opposing QBs.
Javonte Williams (DAL) ā RB7 @ PHI:
Williams has 15 goal-line rushes this year, tied for the most in the NFL with Derrick Henry, per JJ Zachariason. This is a much-needed bounceback opportunity for the Cowboys, so Iām banking on a score or two from him against a wounded Eagles team.
Christian Watson (GB) ā WR4 @ DET:
With the highest over/under of the week (53.5), you want as many pieces of this game as possible. The Lions are the easiest fantasy matchup for opposing WRs, so look for Jordan Love to sling it deep to Watson and Golden (who I also love this week at WR9).
Colby Parkinson (LAR) ā TE10 @ LV:
Itās tough to choose which Rams TE will step up in Davante Adamsā absence, but Iām leaning towards Parkinson. Despite running less routes, he out-targeted Tyler Higbee last week (six to four), while scoring about 10 more PPR points. Iāll take a chance on the younger, more talented option.
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QUICK SLANTS š
š Read Top 8 Fantasy Football Takeaways from Week 6 Usage from Draft Sharksā Jared Smola for insights on the Giantsā backfield, Kyle Pittsā resurgence, and more.
š Read NFL Team Performance Trends Week 7 from The Fantasy Footballersā Samuel DiSorbo for an overview of the leagueās refreshed efficiencies as well as some players to watch out for in Week 7.
š Read The Everything Report: 2026 Fantasy Football Week 7 from Fantasy Pointsā Graham Barfield and Ryan Heath ($) for insights at every position based on usage, data, and other trends.
BONUS: š Read Inside an NFL Headset from The Athleticās Jourdan Rodrigue and Mike Sando for a great insight into the hidden world of technology, chaos and split-second conversations behind every play.
šŗ Watch Field Yates and Mel Kiper Jr. run through Kiper's first Top-25 Big Board Rankings of the 2026-27 college football season:
TWEET OF THE DAY āļø
Enjoy Pats @ Bears tonight.
See you Sunday morning.
- Marcus













