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Bonjour.🇫🇷
This week’s Sunday slate kicks off bright and early with the Steelers taking on the Saints in Paris, France. Despite the ongoing civil unrest, the NFL is going ahead with the game as planned…😬
I’ll be channeling that same delusional optimism for one of my fantasy teams today while ignoring the dumpster fire that is my bench:
Hope your prospects for Week 7 look a little brighter. To help with that, we’ve got some starts, sits, and sleepers from the industry’s top experts.
Let’s get after it…
Today's newsletter highlights:
Starts & Sits 🧐
Sleepers 😴
Best Bets 💰
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STARTS & SITS 🧐
Quarterback
Jordan Love // FOX Sports
✅ Start ‘Em
Jordan Love @ DET: “The Lions are the NFL’s most extreme pass funnel (+9.3% pass rate over expected allowed), while the Packers’ offense has ranked top-4 in PROE this year (+7.8%) … That obviously means Love—who gets the single-best schedule-adjusted matchup for opposing QBs this week (+9.0)—is an attractive play.” — Fantasy Points’ Ryan Heath
C.J. Stroud vs. NYG: He’s been a top-5 fantasy QB in two of his last three appearances and is hosting a Giants defense that's the 7th easiest matchup for fantasy QBs, per Yahoo’s Justin Boone.
Dak Prescott @ PHI: Prescott has scored at least 21.9 fantasy points in six of his past seven games against the Eagles, including four games over that span with at least 31.1 fantasy points (6 pts per pass TD scoring), per CBS Sports’ Jamey Eisenberg.
❌ Sit ‘Em
Patrick Mahomes @ SEA: KC has a 19.9-point team total (7th-lowest) against a Seattle defense that ranks 2nd-hardest for QBs, per Fantasy Life’s Dwain McFarland.
Sam Darnold vs. KC: He has scored 17.3 fantasy points or less for three games in a row against the Chargers, 49ers, and Broncos. It won't get any easier against the Chiefs, who have allowed the 2nd-fewest fantasy points to opposing QBs, per Jamey Eisenberg.
Tyler Shough vs. PIT (in London): The Steelers allow the 8th-fewest passing yards per game (222.0) and the 6th-fewest passing TDs per game (1.0) to opposing QBs, per Fantasy Points’ Tom Brolley. Shough that.
😴 Sleepers
Bryce Young @ CAR: The Bucs are a top-4 pass funnel (+6.6% pass rate over expected allowed), while the Panthers are a top-3 offense by PROE (+8.4%). Tampa also uses single-high safeties at the 2nd-highest rate (65.1%), while Young averages a rock solid 7.49 yards per attempt against that look this year, per Fantasy Points’ John Hansen.
Aaron Rodgers @ NO (in Paris): Pittsburgh’s +4.3% pass rate over expected is the 3rd-highest in the NFL, per NBC Sports’ Kyle Dvorchak. That, plus their 24-point implied team total vs. a Saints defense that ranks 23rd in EPA per dropback bodes well for A-Rod.
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